Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 10.272141 12.066612 14.037998 16.358490 19.008887 21.935219 25.404143
2024-12-29 7.593998 9.926128 12.727280 16.315060 20.761136 26.060799 32.823868
2025-01-05 5.662343 8.124287 11.317480 15.709074 21.529864 28.911071 38.898030
2025-01-12 4.548340 7.077479 10.581888 15.700023 22.872951 32.439679 46.007052
2025-01-19 3.733585 6.253961 9.959812 15.667539 24.064877 35.760730 53.022791
2025-01-26 3.335636 5.954454 10.005543 16.530974 26.527358 40.955660 62.953737
2025-02-02 2.974173 5.636449 9.954194 17.201991 28.720916 45.889226 72.835232
2025-02-09 2.694884 5.399198 9.980553 17.965482 31.084018 51.205723 83.610248
2025-02-16 2.327128 4.938221 9.563792 17.939056 32.164883 54.617217 91.706072
2025-02-23 1.943057 4.375533 8.886524 17.375986 32.285679 56.495353 97.503754
2025-03-02 1.608308 3.844882 8.186397 16.674338 32.075949 57.782074 102.389562
2025-03-09 1.422869 3.584847 7.951712 16.774154 33.234971 61.356761 111.158006
2025-03-16 1.239548 3.301301 7.643079 16.719290 34.146720 64.638218 119.763716
2025-03-23 1.086681 3.057288 7.380066 16.720483 35.156972 68.156349 128.997574
2025-03-30 0.906320 2.709841 6.847801 16.116800 34.965410 69.535207 134.617819
2025-04-06 0.797590 2.517459 6.622917 16.113014 35.915441 73.004279 144.088544
2025-04-13 0.701788 2.337939 6.399448 16.081706 36.797848 76.391688 153.591336
2025-04-20 0.672007 2.334346 6.586932 16.965777 39.598047 83.519186 170.266638
2025-04-27 0.632758 2.295519 6.683193 17.652473 42.038973 90.101505 186.270688
2025-05-04 0.601056 2.272769 6.815741 18.433523 44.733338 97.318783 203.816047
2025-05-11 0.534578 2.127207 6.613641 18.406528 45.691491 101.197671 215.243965
2025-05-18 0.453972 1.915339 6.203695 17.830592 45.396362 102.562730 221.913304
2025-05-25 0.379757 1.704103 5.759583 17.112829 44.712315 103.081909 226.937931